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Review of Finance Vol. 19 No. 1 2015

Monetary Policy, Risk-Taking, and Pricing: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

Vasso Ioannidou; Steven Ongena; José-Luis Peydró

1 Lancaster University, 2University of Zurich, Swiss Finance Institute, CEPR, and 3ICREA-Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Cass Business School, CREI, Barcelona GSE, CEPR

open access

Abstract

We study the risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Bolivia, a dollarized country where monetary changes are transmitted exogenously from the USA. We find that a lower policy rate spurs the granting of riskier loans, to borrowers with worse credit histories, lower ex-ante internal ratings, and weaker ex-post performance (acutely so when the rate subsequently increases). Effects are stronger for small firms borrowing from multiple banks. To uniquely identify risk-taking, we assess collateral coverage, expected returns, and risk premia of the newly granted riskier loans, finding that their returns and premia are actually lower, especially at banks suffering from agency problems.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfu035
Volume
19
Issue
1
Pages
95-144
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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