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Review of Finance Vol. 1 No. 3 1998

Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships Between the Futures-, Options and Stock Market

Frank de Jong1; Monique W. M. Donders

1 Tilburg University

open access

Abstract

In rational, efficiently functioning and complete markets, returns on derivative and underlying securities should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Due to market imperfections, one of these markets may reflect information faster. The use of high-frequency data and the choice for a small unit time interval to measure these lead-lag relations comes at the cost of some or many missing observations, causing traditional estimators to either under- or overestimate covariances and correlations. We use a new estimator to estimate lead-lag relationships between the cash AEX index, options and futures. We find that futures returns lead both options and cash index returns by approximately 10 minutes. The relationship between options and the cash market is not completely unidirectional.

DOI
10.1023/a:1009765322522
Volume
1
Issue
3
Pages
337-359
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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