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Review of Finance Vol. 28 No. 2 2024

Why momentum concentrates among overvalued stocks?

Jack Favilukis1; Terry Zhang2

1 Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia , Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z1, · 2 Australian National University, CBE Building, 26C Kingsley Street, Acton, ACT 2601,

open access

Abstract

We uncover a link between momentum and overvaluation: assets that generate strong momentum profits have lower risk-adjusted unconditional returns; conversely, trading momentum within overvalued assets doubles the profit of the standard momentum strategy. We compute the profits of a momentum strategy within various portfolios; portfolios within which momentum is profitable are defined as momentum trading opportunity (MTO). High-MTO assets have negative unconditional alphas and concentrate in the short legs of most anomalies; controlling for MTO reduces anomaly alphas by up to half. These results imply that the existence of other anomalies is closely linked to the existence of momentum and they should be studied jointly.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfad033
Volume
28
Issue
2
Pages
389-412
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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