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Review of Finance Vol. 27 No. 6 2023

Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments

Scott R. Baker1; Robert A Farrokhnia2; Steffen Meyer3; Michaela Pagel4; Constantine Yannelis5

1 Northwestern University, Kellogg, NBER , · 2 Columbia Business School, Columbia Engineering School , · 3 Aarhus University and Danish Finance Institute (DFI) , · 4 Columbia Business School, NBER, and CEPR , · 5 University of Chicago , Booth School of Business; NBER

open access

Abstract

The 2020 CARES Act directed large cash payments to households. We analyze households’ spending responses using data from a Fintech nonprofit, exploring heterogeneity by income, recent income declines, and liquidity as well as linked survey responses about economic expectations. Households respond rapidly to payments, with spending increasing by about $0.14 per dollar during the first week and plateauing around 0.25–0.30 over 3 months. In contrast to previous stimulus programs, we see little response of durables spending. Households with lower incomes, greater income declines, and less liquidity display stronger responses whereas households that expect employment losses and benefit cuts display weaker responses.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfad010
Volume
27
Issue
6
Pages
2271-2304
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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