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Review of Finance Vol. 28 No. 1 2024

Optimal Capital Structure and Risk Management Policies of Banks That Use CoCo Futures to Hedge Financial-Sector Risk

Robert S. Goldstein1; Fan Yang2

1 University of Minnesota and NBER Minneapolis , MN, · 2 University of Connecticut , Storrs, CT,

open access

Abstract

We investigate the joint optimal risk management and capital structure decisions of banks when they use contingent-convertible (CoCo) futures contracts to hedge financial-sector risk. In spite of banks choosing significantly higher leverage ratios, their default probabilities drop appreciably while their equity values increase, allowing banks to compete more favorably with the shadow-banking system. Banks’ value-maximizing decision to hedge financial-sector risk unintentionally leads to an economy with extremely low aggregate bank default rates across all future states of nature. Thus, CoCo futures offer a powerful microprudential and macroprudential policy tool. That banks choose not to hedge financial-sector risk in practice is consistent with managers internalizing bank bailouts.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfad022
Volume
28
Issue
1
Pages
235-270
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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