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Review of Finance Vol. 20 No. 6 2016

Rushing into the American Dream? House Prices Growth and the Timing of Homeownership

Sumit Agarwal1; Luojia Hu2; Xing Huang3

1 1National University of Singapore, · 2 2Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and · 3 3Michigan State University

open access

Abstract

We use the New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel data set to empirically examine how past house price growth influences the timing of homeownership. We find that the median individual in metropolitan areas with the highest quartile house price growth becomes a homeowner 5 years earlier than that in areas with the lowest quartile house price growth. The result is consistent with a life cycle housing-demand model in which high past price growth increases expectations of future price growth thus accelerating home purchases at young ages. We show that extrapolative expectations formed by homebuyers are a necessary channel to explain the result.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfv063
Volume
20
Issue
6
Pages
2183-2218
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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