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Review of Finance Vol. 29 No. 1 2025

Empirical determinants of momentum: a perspective using international data

Amit Goyal1; Narasimhan Jegadeesh2; Avanidhar Subrahmanyam3

1 Swiss Finance Institute, University of Lausanne , Lausanne 1015, · 2 Goizueta Business School, Emory University , Atlanta, GA 30322, · 3 Anderson School, UCLA , Los Angeles, CA 90095,

Abstract

Although momentum exists in many markets throughout the world, explanations for momentum have largely been tested using US data. We investigate the extent to which US-based momentum explanations extend to the international context, using regression-based and portfolio approaches. Among the several hypotheses we consider, we find reliable support for the hypothesis that due to limited attention, investors underreact to information arriving in small bits rather than in large chunks, which results in momentum. We also find secondary support for the overconfidence hypothesis for momentum. Finally, we find that momentum is stronger in up-markets and less-volatile markets in the international context just as in the USA. This finding also accords with the investor overconfidence hypothesis, under the proviso that investors are more confident in rising, low-volatility markets.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfae038
Volume
29
Issue
1
Pages
241-273
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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