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Review of Finance Vol. 14 No. 2 2010

Decomposing European CDS Returns

Antje Berndt1; Iulian Obreja2

1 Carnegie Mellon University 1 Tepper School of Business , · 2 University of Colorado at Boulder 2 Leeds School of Business ,

Abstract

Nearly half of the variation in European CDS returns is captured by a novel factor that mimics economic catastrophe risk. During the financial crisis of 2007–8, this factor became more important relative to other sources of risk, leading to a shift in the correlation structure of CDS returns. Using equivalent CDS and equity portfolios, we show that while crucial for explaining temporal and cross-sectional variation in CDS returns, the factor plays a lesser role for equity. This is likely due to the limited sensitivity of the equity value at default to whether the event is of systemic or idiosyncratic nature.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfq004
Volume
14
Issue
2
Pages
189-233
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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