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Review of Finance Vol. 16 No. 3 2012

An Examination of Mutual Fund Timing Ability Using Monthly Holdings Data

Edwin J. Elton1; Martin J. Gruber1; Christopher R. Blake2

1 1New York University · 2 2Fordham University

open access

Abstract

In this paper, the authors use monthly holdings to study timing ability. These data differ from holdings data used in previous studies in that the authors’ data have a higher frequency and include a full range of securities, not just traded equities. Using a one-index model, the authors find, as do two recent studies, that management appears to have positive and statistically significant timing ability. When a multiindex model is used, the authors show that timing decisions do not result in an increase in performance, whether timing is measured using conditional or unconditional sensitivities. The authors show that sector rotation decisions with respect to high-tech stocks are a major contribution to negative timing.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfr007
Volume
16
Issue
3
Pages
619-645
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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