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Review of Finance Vol. 27 No. 3 2023

A New Wolf in Town? Pump-and-Dump Manipulation in Cryptocurrency Markets

Anirudh Dhawan1,2; Tālis J. Putniņš2,3,4

1 Indian Institute of Management Bangalore , India · 2 University of Technology Sydney , Australia · 3 Stockholm School of Economics in Riga , Latvia · 4 Digital Finance Co-operative Research Centre ,

Abstract

We investigate the puzzle of widespread participation in cryptocurrency pump-and-dump manipulation schemes. Unlike stock market manipulators, cryptocurrency manipulators openly declare their intentions to pump specific coins, rather than trying to deceive investors. Puzzlingly, people join in despite negative expected returns. In a simple framework, we demonstrate how overconfidence and gambling preferences can explain participation in these schemes. Analyzing a sample of 355 cases in 6 months, we find strong empirical support for both mechanisms. Pumps generate extreme price distortions of 65% on average, abnormal trading volumes in the millions of dollars, and large wealth transfers between participants.

DOI
10.1093/rof/rfac051
Volume
27
Issue
3
Pages
935-975
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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