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The Accounting Review Vol. 77 No. s-1 2002

The Quality of Accruals and Earnings: The Role of Accrual Estimation Errors

Patricia Dechow; Ilia D. Dichev

University of Michigan

Abstract

This paper suggests a new measure of one aspect of the quality of working capital accruals and earnings. One role of accruals is to shift or adjust the recognition of cash flows over time so that the adjusted numbers (earnings) better measure firm performance. However, accruals require assumptions and estimates of future cash flows. We argue that the quality of accruals and earnings is decreasing in the magnitude of estimation error in accruals. We derive an empirical measure of accrual quality as the residuals from firm-specific regressions of changes in working capital on past, present, and future operating cash flows. We document that observable firm characteristics can be used as instruments for accrual quality (e.g., volatility of accruals and volatility of earnings). Finally, we show that our measure of accrual quality is positively related to earnings persistence.

DOI
10.2308/accr.2002.77.s-1.35
Volume
77
Issue
s-1
Pages
35-59
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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