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The Accounting Review Vol. 77 No. 2 2002

Accounting Conservatism, the Quality of Earnings, and Stock Returns

Stephen H. Penman1; Xiaojun Zhang2

1 a Columbia University. · 2 b University of California, Berkeley

Abstract

When a firm practices conservative accounting, changes in the amount of its investments can affect the quality of its earnings. Growth in investment reduces reported earnings and creates reserves. Reducing investment releases those reserves, increasing earnings. If the change in investment is temporary, then current earnings is temporarily depressed or inflated, and thus is not a good indicator of future earnings. This study develops diagnostic measures of this joint effect of investment and conservative accounting. We find that these measures forecast differences in future return on net operating assets relative to current return on net operating assets. Moreover, these measures also forecast stock returns—indicating that investors do not appreciate how conservatism and changes in investment combine to raise questions about the quality of reported earnings.

DOI
10.2308/accr.2002.77.2.237
Volume
77
Issue
2
Pages
237-264
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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