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American Economic Review Vol. 111 No. 3 2021

Job Displacement Insurance and (the Lack of) Consumption-Smoothing

François Gerard1; Joana Naritomi2

1 Queen Mary University of London (email: ) · 2 London School of Economics (email: )

open access

Abstract

We study the spending profile of workers who experience both a positive transitory income shock (lump-sum severance pay) and a negative permanent income shock (layoff). Using de-identified expenditure and employment data from Brazil, we show that workers increase spending at layoff by 35 percent despite experiencing a 14 percent long-term loss. We find high sensitivity of spending to cash-on-hand across consumption categories and for several sources of variation, including predictable income drops. A model with present-biased workers can rationalize our findings, and highlights the importance of the timing of benefit disbursement for the consumption-smoothing gains of job displacement insurance policies.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20190388
Volume
111
Issue
3
Pages
899-942
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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