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American Economic Review Vol. 111 No. 2 2021

Intertemporal Labor Supply Substitution? Evidence from the Swiss Income Tax Holidays

Isabel Z. Martínez1; Emmanuel Saez2; Michael Siegenthaler1

1 ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute (email: ) · 2 University of California–Berkeley, Department of Economics (email: )

open access

Abstract

This paper estimates intertemporal labor supply responses to two-year long income tax holidays staggered across Swiss cantons. Cantons shifted from an income tax system based on the previous two years’ income to a standard annual pay as you earn system, leaving two years of income untaxed. We find significant but quantitatively very small responses of wage earnings with an intertemporal elasticity of 0.025 overall. High wage income earners and especially the self-employed display larger responses with elasticities around 0.1 and 0.25, respectively, most likely driven by tax avoidance. We find no effects along the extensive margin at all.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20180746
Volume
111
Issue
2
Pages
506-546
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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