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American Economic Review Vol. 114 No. 8 2024

Learning by Necessity: Government Demand, Capacity Constraints, and Productivity Growth

Ethan Ilzetzki

London School of Economics (email: )

open access

Abstract

This paper studies how firms adapt to demand shocks when facing capacity constraints. I show that increases in government purchases raise total factor productivity in quantity units at the production line level. Productivity gains are concentrated in plants facing tighter capacity constraints, a phenomenon I call “learning by necessity.” Evidence is based on newly digitized archival data on US World War II aircraft production. Shifts in demand across aircraft with different strategic roles provide an instrument for aircraft demand. I show that plants adapted to surging demand by improving production methods, outsourcing, and combating absenteeism, primarily when facing tighter capacity constraints.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20230033
Volume
114
Issue
8
Pages
2436-2471
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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