← Search

American Economic Review Vol. 111 No. 2 2021

Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble

Patrick Bayer®1; Kyle Mangum2; James W. Roberts1

1 Department of Economics, Duke University, and NBER (email: ) · 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (email: )

Abstract

Historical anecdotes abound of new investors being drawn into a booming asset market, only to suffer when the market turns. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature, causal empirical evidence on the topic is much rarer. This paper studies the recent boom and bust in the US housing market and establishes that many novice investors entered the market as a direct result of observing investing activity of multiple forms in their own neighborhoods and that “infected” investors performed poorly relative to other investors along several dimensions.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20171611
Volume
111
Issue
2
Pages
609-651
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

Cite