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American Economic Review Vol. 87 No. 1 1997

Aggregate Employment Dynamics: Building from Microeconomic Evidence

Ricardo J. Caballero; Eduardo M. R. A. Engel; John Haltiwanger

Abstract

This paper studies quarterly employment flows of approximately 10,000 U.S. manufacturing establishments. We use establishments' hours-week to construct measures of the deviation between desired and actual employment and use these as the establishments' main state variables. Our main findings are: (i) micro-economic adjustment functions are nonlinear, with plants adjusting disproportionately to large shortages; (ii) adjustments are often either large or nil, suggesting the presence of nonconvexities in the adjustment cost technologies; (iii) the bulk of average employment fluctuations is accounted for by aggregate, rather than reallocation, shocks; and (iv) microeconomic nonlinearities amplify the impact of large aggregate shocks.

Volume
87
Issue
1
Pages
115-137
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib

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