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American Economic Review Vol. 111 No. 10 2021

From Mad Men to Maths Men: Concentration and Buyer Power in Online Advertising

Francesco Decarolis1; Gabriele Rovigatti2

1 Department of Economics, Bocconi University, and IGIER (email: ) · 2 Research Department, Bank of Italy (email: )

open access

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of intermediary concentration on the allocation of revenue in online platforms. We study sponsored search documenting how advertisers increasingly bid through a handful of specialized intermediaries. This enhances automated bidding and data pooling, but lessens competition whenever the intermediary represents competing advertisers. Using data on nearly 40 million Google keyword auctions, we first apply machine learning algorithms to cluster keywords into thematic groups serving as relevant markets. Using an instrumental variable strategy, we estimate a decline in the platform’s revenue of approximately 11 percent due to the average rise in concentration associated with intermediary merger and acquisition activity.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20190811
Volume
111
Issue
10
Pages
3299-3327
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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