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American Economic Review Vol. 114 No. 9 2024

Spending and Job-Finding Impacts of Expanded Unemployment Benefits: Evidence from Administrative Micro Data

Peter Ganong1; Fiona Greig2; Pascal Noel1; Daniel Sullivan2; Joseph Vavra1

1 University of Chicago and NBER (email: ) · 2 JPMorgan Chase Institute (email: )

Abstract

We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in US history had large spending impacts and small job-finding impacts. This finding has three implications. First, increased benefits were important for explaining aggregate spending dynamics—but not employment dynamics—during the pandemic. Second, benefit expansions allow us to study the MPC of normally low-liquidity households in a high-liquidity state. These households still have high MPCs. This suggests a role for permanent behavioral characteristics, rather than just current liquidity, in driving spending behavior. Third, the mechanisms driving our results imply that temporary benefit supplements are a promising countercyclical tool.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20220973
Volume
114
Issue
9
Pages
2898-2939
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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