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American Economic Review Vol. 113 No. 12 2023

The (Lack of) Anticipatory Effects of the Social Safety Net on Human Capital Investment

Manasi Deshpande1; Rebecca Dizon-Ross2

1 University of Chicago Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics (email: ) · 2 University of Chicago, Booth School of Business (email: )

Abstract

How does the expectation that a child will receive government benefits in adulthood affect parental investments in the child’s human capital? Most parents whose children receive Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits overestimate the likelihood that their child will receive SSI benefits in adulthood. We present randomly selected families with the predicted likelihood that their child will receive SSI benefits in adulthood. Reducing parents’ expectations that children will receive benefits in adulthood does not increase investments in children’s human capital. This zero effect is precisely estimated. Likely explanations include parents working more themselves, nonfinancial goals influencing investment, and families facing investment constraints.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20230010
Volume
113
Issue
12
Pages
3129-3172
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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