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Journal of Finance Vol. 45 No. 4 1990

Heteroskedasticity in Stock Returns.

G. William Schwert; Paul J. Seguin

Abstract

The authors use predictions of aggregate stock return variances from daily data to estimate time-varying monthly variances for size-ranked portfolios. The authors propose and estimate a single factor model of heteroskedasticity for portfolio returns. This model implies time-varying betas. Implications of heteroskedasticity and time-varying betas for tests of the capital asset pricing model are then documented. Accounting for heteroskedasticity increases the evidence that risk-adjusted returns are related to firm size. The authors also estimate a constant correlation model. Portfolio volatilities predicted by this model are similar to those predicated by more complex multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity procedures.

Volume
45
Issue
4
Pages
1129-55
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib

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