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Journal of Finance Vol. 55 No. 3 2000

Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns

Gabriel Perez-Quiros; Allan Timmermann1

1 University of California San Diego

open access

Abstract

Recent imperfect capital market theories predict the presence of asymmetries in the variation of small and large firms' risk over the economic cycle. Small firms with little collateral should be more strongly affected by tighter credit market conditions in a recession state than large, better collateralized ones. This paper adopts a flexible econometric model to analyze these mplications empirically. Consistent with theory, small firms display the highest degree of asymmetry in their risk across recession and expansion states, which translates into a higher sensitivity of their expected stock returns with respect to variables that measure credit market conditions.

DOI
10.1111/0022-1082.00246
Volume
55
Issue
3
Pages
1229-1262
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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