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Journal of Finance Vol. 59 No. 1 2004

Informed Trading When Information Becomes Stale

Dan Bernhardt1; Jianjun Miao2

1 Ecolab (United States) · 2 Ford Motor Company (United States)

Abstract

This paper characterizes informed trade when speculators can acquire distinct signals of varying quality about an asset's value at different dates. The most reasonable characterization of private information about stocks is that while information is long‐lived, new information will arrive over time, information that may be acquired by others. Hence, while a speculator may know more than others at a moment, in the future, his information will become stale, but not valueless. In an environment that allows for arbitrary correlations among signals, we characterize equilibrium outcomes including trading, prices, and profits. We provide explicit numerical characterizations for different informational environments.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00635.x
Volume
59
Issue
1
Pages
339-390
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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