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Journal of Finance Vol. 75 No. 1 2020

Pledgeability, Industry Liquidity, and Financing Cycles

Douglas W. Diamond; Yunzhi Hu; Raghuram G. Rajan1,2,3

1 U.S. National Science Foundation · 2 Morrison Tech · 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Abstract

Why do firms choose high debt when they anticipate high valuations, and underperform subsequently? We propose a theory of financing cycles where the importance of creditors’ control rights over cash flows (“pledgeability”) varies with industry liquidity. The market allows firms take on more debt when they anticipate higher future liquidity. However, both high anticipated liquidity and the resulting high debt limit their incentives to enhance pledgeability. This has prolonged adverse effects in a downturn. Because these effects are hard to contract upon, higher anticipated liquidity can also reduce a firm's current access to finance.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12831
Volume
75
Issue
1
Pages
419-461
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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