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Journal of Finance Vol. 55 No. 3 2000

A Test of the Relative Pricing Effects of Dividends and Earnings: Evidence from Simultaneous Announcements in Japan

Robert M. Conroy1; Kenneth M. Eades1; Robert S. Harris2,1

1 University of Virginia · 2 United States Securities and Exchange Commission

Abstract

We study the pricing effects of dividend and earnings announcements by taking advantage of the unique setting in Japan where managers simultaneously announce the current year's dividends and earnings as well as forecasts of next year's dividends and earnings. Defining surprises as deviations from analysts' forecasts, we find that share price reactions are significantly affected by earnings surprises, especially management forecasts of next year's earnings. The information content of dividends is marginal and is restricted to announcements of next year's dividends. Consistent with Modigliani and Miller's dividend irrelevance proposition, current dividend surprises have no material impact on stock prices in Japan.

DOI
10.1111/0022-1082.00245
Volume
55
Issue
3
Pages
1199-1227
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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