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Journal of Finance Vol. 79 No. 5 2024

The SOE Premium and Government Support in China's Credit Market

Zhe Geng; Jun Pan1

1 e-mail: [email protected]

Abstract

Studying China's credit market using a structural default model that integrates credit risk, liquidity, and bailout, we document improved price discovery and a deepening divide between state‐owned enterprises (SOEs) and non‐SOEs. Amidst liquidity deterioration, the presence of government bailout helps alleviate the heightened liquidity‐driven default, making SOE bonds more valuable and widening the SOE premium. Meanwhile, the increased importance of government support makes SOEs more sensitive to bailout, while the heightened default risk increases non‐SOEs' sensitivity to credit quality. Examining the real impact, we find severe performance deteriorations of non‐SOEs relative to SOEs, reversing the long‐standing trend of non‐SOEs outperforming SOEs.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.13380
Volume
79
Issue
5
Pages
3041-3103
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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