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Journal of Finance Vol. 67 No. 2 2012

Rollover Risk and Credit Risk

Zhiguo He1; Wei Xiong2

1 University of Chicago · 2 Wonkwang Digital University

Abstract

Our model shows that deterioration in debt market liquidity leads to an increase in not only the liquidity premium of corporate bonds but also credit risk. The latter effect originates from firms' debt rollover. When liquidity deterioration causes a firm to suffer losses in rolling over its maturing debt, equity holders bear the losses while maturing debt holders are paid in full. This conflict leads the firm to default at a higher fundamental threshold. Our model demonstrates an intricate interaction between the liquidity premium and default premium and highlights the role of short‐term debt in exacerbating rollover risk.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01721.x
Volume
67
Issue
2
Pages
391-430
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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