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Journal of Finance Vol. 60 No. 5 2005

The Market Impact of Trends and Sequences in Performance: New Evidence

GREGORY R. DURHAM1,2; Michael G. Hertzel1,2; J. Spencer Martin1

1 Montana State University · 2 Arizona State University

open access

Abstract

Bloomfield and Hales (2002) find strong evidence that experimental market subjects are influenced by trends and patterns in a manner supportive of the shifting regimes model of Barberis, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998) . We subject the model to further empirical scrutiny using the football wagering market as our price laboratory. Sports betting markets have several advantages over traditional capital markets as an empirical setting, and commonalities with traditional markets allow for useful insights. We find scant evidence that investors behave in accordance with the model.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00807.x
Volume
60
Issue
5
Pages
2551-2569
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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