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Journal of Finance Vol. 77 No. 5 2022

The Cost of Capital for Banks: Evidence from Analyst Earnings Forecasts

JENS DICK‐NIELSEN1; Jacob Gyntelberg; CHRISTOFFER THIMSEN2

1 Danish Institute for International Studies · 2 Danish Maritime Authority

open access

Abstract

We extract cost of capital measures for banks using analyst earnings forecasts, which we show are unbiased. We find that the cost of equity and the cost of debt decrease in the Tier 1 ratio, whereas total cost of capital is uncorrelated with the Tier 1 ratio. These findings suggest that investors adjust their return expectations for banks in accordance with the Modigliani–Miller conservation‐of‐risk principle. Hence, increased capital requirements are not made socially costly based on a notion that market pricing violates risk conservation. Equity can nevertheless still be privately costly for banks because of reduced subsidies.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.13168
Volume
77
Issue
5
Pages
2577-2611
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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