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Journal of Finance Vol. 69 No. 5 2014

The TIPS‐Treasury Bond Puzzle

Matthias Fleckenstein; Francis A. Longstaff; Hanno Lustig1

1 Hospital of the Brothers of St. John of God

open access

Abstract

We show that the price of a Treasury bond and an inflation‐swapped Treasury Inflation‐Protected Securities (TIPS) issue exactly replicating the cash flows of the Treasury bond can differ by more than $20 per $100 notional. Treasury bonds are almost always overvalued relative to TIPS. Total TIPS‐Treasury mispricing has exceeded $56 billion, representing nearly 8% of the total amount of TIPS outstanding. We find direct evidence that the mispricing narrows as additional capital flows into the markets. This provides strong support for the slow‐moving‐capital explanation of arbitrage persistence.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12032
Volume
69
Issue
5
Pages
2151-2197
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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