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Journal of Finance Vol. 58 No. 2 2003

The Value Spread

Randolph B. Cohen1; Christopher Polk; Tuomo Vuolteenaho2,3,4

1 Harvard Business School · 2 Harvard University · 3 Kellogg's (Canada) · 4 Versar (United States)

Abstract

We decompose the cross‐sectional variance of firms' book‐to‐market ratios using both a long U.S. panel and a shorter international panel. In contrast to typical aggregate time‐series results, transitory cross‐sectional variation in expected 15‐year stock returns causes only a relatively small fraction (20 to 25 percent) of the total cross‐sectional variance. The remaining dispersion can be explained by expected 15‐year profitability and persistence of valuation levels. Furthermore, this fraction appears stable across time and across types of stocks. We also show that the expected return on value‐minus‐growth strategies is atypically high at times when their spread in book‐to‐market ratios is wide.

DOI
10.1111/1540-6261.00539
Volume
58
Issue
2
Pages
609-641
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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