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Journal of Finance Vol. 76 No. 2 2021

Equilibrium Asset Pricing with Leverage and Default

João F. Gomes; Lukas Schmid1,2,3

1 Springer Nature (Germany) · 2 Deutsche Telekom (Austria) · 3 Marymount University

Abstract

We develop a general equilibrium model linking the pricing of stocks and corporate bonds to endogenous movements in corporate leverage and aggregate volatility. The model features heterogeneous firms making optimal investment and financing decisions and connects fluctuations in macroeconomic quantities and asset prices to movements in the cross section of firms. Empirically plausible movements in leverage produce realistic asset return dynamics. Countercyclical leverage drives predictable variation in risk premia, and debt‐financed growth generates a high value premium. Endogenous default produces countercyclical aggregate volatility and credit spread movements that are propagated to the real economy through their effects on investment and output.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12987
Volume
76
Issue
2
Pages
977-1018
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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