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Journal of Finance Vol. 75 No. 6 2020

Credit Rating Inflation and Firms' Investments

Itay Goldstein1; Chong Huang2,3,4

1 William P. Wharton Trust · 2 Johns Hopkins University · 3 Chinese University of Hong Kong · 4 Weifang University

Abstract

We analyze credit rating effects on firm investments in a rational bond financing game that features a feedback loop. The credit rating agency (CRA) inflates the rating, providing a biased but informative signal to creditors. Creditors' response to the rating affects the firm's investment decision and thus its credit quality, which is reflected in the rating. The CRA might reduce ex ante economic efficiency, which results solely from its strategic effect: the CRA assigns more firms high ratings and allows them to gamble for resurrection. We derive empirical predictions on the determinants of rating standards and inflation and discuss policy implications.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12961
Volume
75
Issue
6
Pages
2929-2972
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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