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Journal of Finance Vol. 63 No. 6 2008

Do Investors Overweight Personal Experience? Evidence from IPO Subscriptions

Markku Kaustia1; Samuli Knüpfer

1 University of Helsinki

open access

Abstract

We find a strong positive link between past IPO returns and future subscriptions at the investor level in Finland. Our setting allows us to trace this effect to the returns personally experienced by investors; the effect is not explained by patterns related to the IPO cycle, or wealth effects. This behavior is consistent with reinforcement learning, where personally experienced outcomes are overweighted compared to rational Bayesian learning. The results provide a microfoundation for the argument that investor sentiment drives IPO demand. The paper also contributes to understanding how popular investment styles develop, and has implications for the marketing of financial products.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2008.01411.x
Volume
63
Issue
6
Pages
2679-2702
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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