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Journal of Finance Vol. 66 No. 5 2011

Overconfidence, Compensation Contracts, and Capital Budgeting

Simon Gervais1; J. B. Heaton2; Terrance Odean3,4,5

1 Duke University · 2 One Hat Research LLC · 3 International Paper (United States) · 4 Cornell University · 5 University of California, Berkeley

Abstract

A risk‐averse manager's overconfidence makes him less conservative. As a result, it is cheaper for firms to motivate him to pursue valuable risky projects. When compensation endogenously adjusts to reflect outside opportunities, moderate levels of overconfidence lead firms to offer the manager flatter compensation contracts that make him better off. Overconfident managers are also more attractive to firms than their rational counterparts because overconfidence commits them to exert effort to learn about projects. Still, too much overconfidence is detrimental to the manager since it leads him to accept highly convex compensation contracts that expose him to excessive risk.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01686.x
Volume
66
Issue
5
Pages
1735-1777
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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