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Journal of Finance Vol. 70 No. 4 2015

Do Prices Reveal the Presence of Informed Trading?

Pierre Collin-Dufresne1,2,3,4; Vyacheslav Fos1,2,3,4

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · 3 Columbia University · 4 Tsinghua University

open access

Abstract

Using a comprehensive sample of trades from Schedule 13D filings by activist investors, we study how measures of adverse selection respond to informed trading. We find that on days when activists accumulate shares, measures of adverse selection and of stock illiquidity are lower, even though prices are positively impacted. Two channels help explain this phenomenon: (1) activists select times of higher liquidity when they trade, and (2) activists use limit orders. We conclude that, when informed traders can select when and how to trade, standard measures of adverse selection may fail to capture the presence of informed trading.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12260
Volume
70
Issue
4
Pages
1555-1582
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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