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Journal of Finance Vol. 78 No. 2 2023

Model Secrecy and Stress Tests

Yaron Leitner1; Basil Williams2

1 Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia · 2 New York University

open access

Abstract

Should regulators reveal the models they use to stress‐test banks? In our setting, revealing leads to gaming, but secrecy can induce banks to underinvest in socially desirable assets for fear of failing the test. We show that although the regulator can solve this underinvestment problem by making the test easier, some disclosure may still be optimal (e.g., if banks have high appetite for risk or if capital shortfalls are not very costly). Cutoff rules are optimal within monotone disclosure rules, but more generally optimal disclosure is single‐peaked. We discuss policy implications and offer applications beyond stress tests.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.13207
Volume
78
Issue
2
Pages
1055-1095
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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