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Journal of Finance Vol. 69 No. 6 2014

Financial Intermediaries and the Cross‐Section of Asset Returns

Tobias Adrian; Erkko Etula; Tyler Muir1,2

1 Goldman Sachs (United States) · 2 Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract

Financial intermediaries trade frequently in many markets using sophisticated models. Their marginal value of wealth should therefore provide a more informative stochastic discount factor (SDF) than that of a representative consumer. Guided by theory, we use shocks to the leverage of securities broker‐dealers to construct an intermediary SDF. Intuitively, deteriorating funding conditions are associated with deleveraging and high marginal value of wealth. Our single ‐factor model prices size, book‐to‐market, momentum, and bond portfolios with an R 2 of 77% and an average annual pricing error of 1%—performing as well as standard multifactor benchmarks designed to price these assets.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.12189
Volume
69
Issue
6
Pages
2557-2596
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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