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Journal of Finance Vol. 56 No. 5 2001

Do Credit Spreads Reflect Stationary Leverage Ratios?

Pierre Collin-Dufresne1; Robert S. Goldstein2,3

1 Carnegie Mellon University · 2 Washington University in St. Louis · 3 IHS Markit (United States)

open access

Abstract

Most structural models of default preclude the firm from altering its capital structure. In practice, firms adjust outstanding debt levels in response to changes in firm value, thus generating mean‐reverting leverage ratios. We propose a structural model of default with stochastic interest rates that captures this mean reversion. Our model generates credit spreads that are larger for low‐leverage firms, and less sensitive to changes in firm value, both of which are more consistent with empirical findings than predictions of extant models. Further, the term structure of credit spreads can be upward sloping for speculative‐grade debt, consistent with recent empirical findings.

DOI
10.1111/0022-1082.00395
Volume
56
Issue
5
Pages
1929-1957
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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