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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 127 No. 3 2012

The Collapse of the Soviet Union and the Productivity of American Mathematicians*

George J. Borjas; Kirk Doran

H arvard U niversity and N ational B ureau of E conomic R esearch , U niversity of N otre D ame

Abstract

It has been difficult to open up the black box of knowledge production. We use unique international data on the publications, citations, and affiliations of mathematicians to examine the impact of a large, post-1992 influx of Soviet mathematicians on the productivity of their U.S. counterparts. We find a negative productivity effect on those mathematicians whose research overlapped with that of the Soviets. We also document an increased mobility rate (to lower quality institutions and out of active publishing) and a reduced likelihood of producing “home run” papers. Although the total product of the preexisting American mathematicians shrank, the Soviet contribution to American mathematics filled in the gap. However, there is no evidence that the Soviets greatly increased the size of the “mathematics pie.” Finally, we find that there are significant international differences in the productivity effects of the collapse of the Soviet Union, and these international differences can be explained by both differences in the size of the émigré flow into the various countries and in how connected each country is to the global market for mathematical publications.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjs015
Volume
127
Issue
3
Pages
1143-1203
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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