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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 137 No. 2 2022

Marginal Effects of Merit Aid for Low-Income Students

Joshua Angrist1; David Autor1; Amanda Pallais2

1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology and National Bureau of Economic Research, United States · 2 Harvard University and National Bureau of Economic Research , United States

Abstract

Financial aid from the Susan Thompson Buffett Foundation (STBF) provides comprehensive support to a student population similar to that served by a host of state aid programs. In conjunction with STBF, we randomly assigned aid awards to thousands of Nebraska high school graduates from low-income, minority, and first-generation college households. Randomly assigned STBF awards boost bachelor’s (BA) degree completion for students targeting four-year schools by about 8 points. Degree gains are concentrated among four-year college applicants who would otherwise have been unlikely to pursue a four-year program. Degree effects are mediated by award-induced increases in credits earned toward a BA in the first year of college. The extent of initial four-year college engagement explains differences in impact by target campus and across covariate subgroups. The projected lifetime earnings effect of awards exceeds marginal educational spending for all of the subgroups examined in the study. Projected earnings gains exceed funder costs for urban students and for students with relatively weak academic preparation.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjab050
Volume
137
Issue
2
Pages
1039-1090
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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