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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 127 No. 2 2012

Portage and Path Dependence *

Hoyt Bleakley1,2; Jeffrey Lin2

1 University of Illinois Chicago · 2 University of Chicago

Abstract

Many cities in North America formed at obstacles to water navigation, where continued transport required overland hauling or portage . Portage sites attracted commerce and supporting services, and places where the falls provided water power attracted manufacturing during early industrialization. We examine portage sites in the U.S. South, Mid-Atlantic, and Midwest, including those on the fall line , a geomorphological feature in the southeastern United States marking the final rapids on rivers before the ocean. Although their original advantages have long since become obsolete, we document the continuing importance of historical portage sites. We interpret these results as path dependence and contrast explanations based on sunk costs interacting with decreasing versus increasing returns to scale.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjs011
Volume
127
Issue
2
Pages
587-644
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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