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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 135 No. 1 2020

Measuring Aggregate Price Indices with Taste Shocks: Theory and Evidence for CES Preferences*

Stephen J. Redding1; David E. Weinstein2

1 Princeton University, National Bureau of Economic Research, and Centre for Economic Policy Research · 2 Columbia University and National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

We develop an approach to measuring the cost of living for CES preferences that treats demand shocks as taste shocks that are equivalent to price shocks. In the presence of relative taste shocks, the Sato-Vartia price index is upward biased because an increase in the relative consumer taste for a variety lowers its taste-adjusted price and raises its expenditure share. By failing to allow for this association, the Sato-Vartia index underweights drops in taste-adjusted prices and overweights increases in taste-adjusted prices, leading to what we call a “taste-shock bias.” We show that this bias generalizes to other invertible demand systems.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjz031
Volume
135
Issue
1
Pages
503-560
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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