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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 133 No. 2 2018

Nation Building Through Foreign Intervention: Evidence from Discontinuities in Military Strategies*

Melissa Dell1; Pablo Querubín2

1 Harvard University and National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 New York University

Abstract

This study uses discontinuities in U.S. strategies employed during the Vietnam War to estimate their causal impacts. It identifies the effects of bombing by exploiting rounding thresholds in an algorithm used to target air strikes. Bombing increased the military and political activities of the communist insurgency, weakened local governance, and reduced noncommunist civic engagement. The study also exploits a spatial discontinuity across neighboring military regions that pursued different counterinsurgency strategies. A strategy emphasizing overwhelming firepower plausibly increased insurgent attacks and worsened attitudes toward the U.S. and South Vietnamese government, relative to a more hearts-and-minds-oriented approach.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjx037
Volume
133
Issue
2
Pages
701-764
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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