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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 130 No. 1 2015

The Geography of Interstate Resource Wars *

Francesco Caselli1,2; Massimo Morelli3; Dominic Rohner4

1 Bread for the World Institute · 2 London School of Economics and Political Science · 3 Columbia University · 4 University of Lausanne

open access

Abstract

We establish a theoretical and empirical framework to assess the role of resource endowments and their geographic location in interstate conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict is more likely when at least one country has natural resources, when the resources in the resource-endowed country are closer to the border, and, in the case where both countries have natural resources, when the resources are located asymmetrically vis-à-vis the border. We test these predictions on a novel data set featuring oilfield distances from bilateral borders. The empirical analysis shows that the presence and location of oil are significant and quantitatively important predictors of interstate conflicts after World War II.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qju038
Volume
130
Issue
1
Pages
267-315
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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