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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 108 No. 3 1993

Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million B.C. to 1990

Michael Kremer

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Abstract

The nonrivalry of technology, as modeled in the endogenous growth Uterature, implies that high population spurs technological change. This paper constructs and empirically tests a model of long-run world population growth combining this implication with the Malthusian assumption that technology limits population. The model predicts that over most of history, the growth rate of population will be proportional to its level. Empirical tests support this prediction and show that historically, among societies with no possibility for technological contact, those with larger initial populations have had faster technological change and population growth.

DOI
10.2307/2118405
Volume
108
Issue
3
Pages
681-716
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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