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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 139 No. 2 2024

Monitoring for Waste: Evidence from Medicare Audits

Maggie Shi

University of Chicago and National Bureau of Economic Research , United States

open access

Abstract

This paper examines the tradeoffs of monitoring for wasteful public spending. By penalizing unnecessary spending, monitoring improves the quality of public expenditure and incentivizes firms to invest in compliance technology. I study a large Medicare program that monitored for unnecessary healthcare spending and consider its effect on government savings, provider behavior, and patient health. Every dollar Medicare spent on monitoring generated $24-29 in government savings. The majority of savings stem from the deterrence of future care, rather than reclaimed payments from prior care. I do not find evidence that the health of the marginal patient is harmed, indicating that monitoring primarily deters low-value care. Monitoring does increase provider administrative costs, but these costs are mostly incurred upfront and include investments in technology to assess the medical necessity of care.

DOI
10.1093/qje/qjad049
Volume
139
Issue
2
Pages
993-1049
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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