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The Review of Asset Pricing Studies Vol. 11 No. 1 2021

The Value Premium

Eugene F. Fama1; Kenneth R. French2

1 Booth School of Business, University of Chicago · 2 Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College

Abstract

Value premiums, which we define as value portfolio returns in excess of market portfolio returns, are on average much lower in the second half of the July 1963–June 2019 period. But the high volatility of monthly premiums prevents us from rejecting the hypothesis that expected premiums are the same in both halves of the sample. Regressions that forecast value premiums with book-to-market ratios in excess of market (BM–BMM) produce more reliable evidence of second-half declines in expected value premiums, but only if we assume the regression coefficients are constant during the sample period. Received: January 21, 2020; editorial decision: July 21, 2020; Editor: Jeffrey Pontiff.

DOI
10.1093/rapstu/raaa021
Volume
11
Issue
1
Pages
105-121
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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