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The Review of Asset Pricing Studies Vol. 10 No. 4 2020

Does Partisanship Shape Investor Beliefs? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

J. Anthony Cookson1; Joseph Engelberg2; William Mullins2

1 Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado Boulder · 2 Rady School of Management, UC San Diego

open access

Abstract

We use party-identifying language—like “liberal media” and “MAGA”—to identify Republican users on the investor social platform StockTwits. Using a difference-in-difference design, we find that partisan Republicans remain relatively unfazed in their beliefs about equities during the COVID-19 pandemic, while other users become considerably more pessimistic. In cross-sectional tests, we find Republicans become relatively more optimistic about stocks that suffered the most during the COVID-19 crisis, but more pessimistic about Chinese stocks. Finally, stocks with the greatest partisan disagreement on StockTwits have significantly more trading in the broader market, explaining 28% of the increase in stock turnover during the pandemic.

DOI
10.1093/rapstu/raaa018
Volume
10
Issue
4
Pages
863-893
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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