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The Review of Asset Pricing Studies Vol. 10 No. 1 2020

Preventing Controversial Catastrophes

Steven D. Baker1; Burton Hollifield2; Emilio Osambela3

1 McIntire School of Commerce University of Virginia · 2 Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University , · 3 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ,

Abstract

We model, in a market-based democracy, different constituencies that disagree regarding the likelihood of economic disasters. Costly public policy initiatives to reduce or eliminate disasters are assessed relative to private alternatives presented by financial markets. Demand for such public policies falls as much as 40% with disagreement, and crowding out by private insurance drives most of the reduction. As support for disaster-reducing policy jumps in periods of disasters, costly policies may be adopted only after disasters occur. In some scenarios constituencies may even demand policies oriented at increasing disaster risk if these policies introduce speculative opportunities. Received September 25, 2017; Editorial decision September 3, 2018 by Editor: Thierry Foucault

DOI
10.1093/rapstu/raz001
Volume
10
Issue
1
Pages
1-60
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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